A Stochastic Hybrid Framework for Driver Behavior Modeling Based on Hierarchical Dirichlet Process

Scalability is one of the major issues for real-world Vehicle-to-Vehicle network realization. To tackle this challenge, a stochastic hybrid modeling framework based on a non-parametric Bayesian inference method, i.e., hierarchical Dirichlet process (HDP), is investigated in this paper. This framework is able to jointly model driver/vehicle behavior through forecasting the vehicle dynamical time-series. This modeling framework could be merged with the notion of model-based information networking, which is recently proposed in the vehicular literature, to overcome the scalability challenges in dense vehicular networks via broadcasting the behavioral models instead of raw information dissemination. This modeling approach has been applied on several scenarios from the realistic Safety Pilot Model Deployment (SPMD) driving data set and the results show a higher performance of this model in comparison with the zero-hold method as the baseline.Comment: This is the accepted version of the paper in 2018 IEEE 88th Vehicular Technology Conference (VTC2018-Fall) (references added, title and abstract modified

A Driver Behavior Modeling Structure Based on Non-parametric Bayesian Stochastic Hybrid Architecture

Heterogeneous nature of the vehicular networks, which results from the co-existence of human-driven, semi-automated, and fully autonomous vehicles, is a challenging phenomenon toward the realization of the intelligent transportation systems with an acceptable level of safety, comfort, and efficiency. Safety applications highly suffer from communication resource limitations, specifically in dense and congested vehicular networks. The idea of model-based communication (MBC) has been recently proposed to address this issue. In this work, we propose Gaussian Process-based Stochastic Hybrid System with Cumulative Relevant History (CRH-GP-SHS) framework, which is a hierarchical stochastic hybrid modeling structure, built upon a non-parametric Bayesian inference method, i.e. Gaussian processes. This framework is proposed in order to be employed within the MBC context to jointly model driver/vehicle behavior as a stochastic object. Non-parametric Bayesian methods relieve the limitations imposed by non-evolutionary model structures and enable the proposed framework to properly capture different stochastic behaviors. The performance of the proposed CRH-GP-SHS framework at the inter-mode level has been evaluated over a set of realistic lane change maneuvers from NGSIM-US101 dataset. The results show a noticeable performance improvement for GP in comparison to the baseline constant speed model, specifically in critical situations such as highly congested networks. Moreover, an augmented model has also been proposed which is a composition of GP and constant speed models and capable of capturing the driver behavior under various network reliability conditions.Comment: This work has been accepted in 2018 IEEE Connected and Automated Vehicles Symposium (CAVS 2018

Learning-based social coordination to improve safety and robustness of cooperative autonomous vehicles in mixed traffic

It is expected that autonomous vehicles(AVs) and heterogeneous human-driven vehicles(HVs) will coexist on the same road. The safety and reliability of AVs will depend on their social awareness and their ability to engage in complex social interactions in a socially accepted manner. However, AVs are still inefficient in terms of cooperating with HVs and struggle to understand and adapt to human behavior, which is particularly challenging in mixed autonomy. In a road shared by AVs and HVs, the social preferences or individual traits of HVs are unknown to the AVs and different from AVs, which are expected to follow a policy, HVs are particularly difficult to forecast since they do not necessarily follow a stationary policy. To address these challenges, we frame the mixed-autonomy problem as a multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) problem and propose an approach that allows AVs to learn the decision-making of HVs implicitly from experience, account for all vehicles' interests, and safely adapt to other traffic situations. In contrast with existing works, we quantify AVs' social preferences and propose a distributed reward structure that introduces altruism into their decision-making process, allowing the altruistic AVs to learn to establish coalitions and influence the behavior of HVs.Comment: arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:2202.0088

Prediction-aware and Reinforcement Learning based Altruistic Cooperative Driving

Autonomous vehicle (AV) navigation in the presence of Human-driven vehicles (HVs) is challenging, as HVs continuously update their policies in response to AVs. In order to navigate safely in the presence of complex AV-HV social interactions, the AVs must learn to predict these changes. Humans are capable of navigating such challenging social interaction settings because of their intrinsic knowledge about other agents behaviors and use that to forecast what might happen in the future. Inspired by humans, we provide our AVs the capability of anticipating future states and leveraging prediction in a cooperative reinforcement learning (RL) decision-making framework, to improve safety and robustness. In this paper, we propose an integration of two essential and earlier-presented components of AVs: social navigation and prediction. We formulate the AV decision-making process as a RL problem and seek to obtain optimal policies that produce socially beneficial results utilizing a prediction-aware planning and social-aware optimization RL framework. We also propose a Hybrid Predictive Network (HPN) that anticipates future observations. The HPN is used in a multi-step prediction chain to compute a window of predicted future observations to be used by the value function network (VFN). Finally, a safe VFN is trained to optimize a social utility using a sequence of previous and predicted observations, and a safety prioritizer is used to leverage the interpretable kinematic predictions to mask the unsafe actions, constraining the RL policy. We compare our prediction-aware AV to state-of-the-art solutions and demonstrate performance improvements in terms of efficiency and safety in multiple simulated scenarios